INTC implied move plus a history of beats and misses
Recorded in cvforge on July 23, 2026 by ConvexValue · Published July 25, 2026
Two views for one earnings date: what the chain prices in for Intel now, and how previous beats and misses translated into subsequent price moves.
Exact prompt
to cvforge: INTC reports earnings - give me a visualization of what is the implied move. Also give me a dashboard to understand historical earnings beats/misses and subsequent price moves.
Data cadence
Live option snapshots for the priced-in move, plus company fundamentals, estimates and news from the FMP packages.
Plan requirements
Needs the Research data plan, which adds end-of-day historical options aggregates. The rest of the build runs on the free tier.
Fields used
implied_volatility, strike_price, expiration_date, underlying_price, fair_market_value, day_volume
How to read it
Pairing these two is the useful move. On its own, an implied move is just a price. Next to a history of what actually happened after previous prints, it becomes a comparison: is the market asking more or less than this name has typically delivered?
Be careful with the inference. A chain that consistently prices more than the realised move suggests option sellers were paid for the risk over that sample — it does not mean the next print will behave. Earnings outcomes are exactly the place where a small historical sample is least reliable.
Change it
The prompt is the interface. Ask for a different ticker, a different expiration window, or an extra column in the same sentence style and the agent edits the app in place — you do not start over, and you do not wait for anyone to build it.
Limitations
- Snapshot data, not a transaction tape: the build reads the chain as it stands, so it cannot attribute a trade to a buyer or a seller.
- Open interest updates once a day, so an intraday volume/OI comparison is always this session’s volume against yesterday’s open interest.
- Contract coverage is U.S. listed equities, ETFs and indices. Indices use the I: prefix, for example I:SPX.
- Current per-contract valuation is Massive fair market value (FMV), a proprietary estimate. cvforge does not provide option bids, asks, midpoint, quote sizes, NBBO or last trades, and FMV is not an executable quote.
- The priced-in move is what the chain implies before the print, not a prediction of the print.
- Fundamentals and estimates arrive on the provider’s schedule, so the newest quarter can lag the announcement by a short period.
Related demos
- IBM earnings dashboard: results against expectations
- ORCL financial statements, earnings and analyst ratings
- A full TSM quarterly earnings report from one prompt
Search focus: intc implied move earnings. Related: intel earnings beats and misses history, implied move vs actual move earnings. Originally posted on X.